A powerful storm in the United States will move from the southwest to the east of the country during the weekend of February 13 to 15, generating heavy rain, thunderstorms, and a significant change in the weather pattern in several regions.
According to weather reports, the system will move from Baja California to the southwest and the Southern Plains, extending heavy precipitation from the southwestern desert to the deep south of the country.
Heavy rains in the central and southeastern U.S.
Between eastern Oklahoma and Georgia, accumulations of two to three inches of rain (5 to 7.6 cm) are expected, with areas that could record up to five inches (12.7 cm) over the weekend.
This new system arrives after a winter marked by snow and ice storms in the eastern half of the United States. However, the Arctic air mass will begin to retreat, giving way to a rise in temperatures in the central part of the country and a scenario mainly dominated by rain.
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Weather in South Florida: isolated showers and weakened front
In South Florida, the impact will be more moderate, although the weather will still change. The National Weather Service (NWS) office in Miami predicts that the front will arrive weakened and stall over the region.
The chances of rain are between 20% and 30%, with isolated to scattered showers, mainly in coastal areas of the Atlantic. The estimated accumulations would be less than an inch (2.5 cm) in most areas.
Toward the beginning of next week, another deeper front could approach the peninsula, although the available moisture would be limited.
North Florida and the Panhandle: Sunday with the highest risk of storms
The outlook will be more active in northern Florida and the Panhandle. The NWS Tallahassee warns that the chances of moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms will significantly increase on Sunday.
The passage of a cold front will generate unstable conditions that could favor heavier precipitation. Although the potential for severe phenomena still presents uncertainty, monitoring continues for possible gusts and lightning strikes.
After the frontal system, a moderate drop in temperatures is expected, with highs around 70°F (21°C) and lows between 40°F and 50°F (7°C to 13°C) at the beginning of the week.
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Northeast Florida: Rains Could Alleviate Drought
In Jacksonville and northeast Florida, where severe to extreme drought conditions persist, the expected rains could be beneficial.
The advance of a low-pressure system will increase the likelihood of widespread precipitation on Sunday, along with isolated storms and windy conditions. Although the risk of severe weather is not yet fully defined, meteorologists highlight that the event could represent a “beneficial rain” for the region.
Subsequently, the high pressure will strengthen, stabilizing the weather and leaving temperatures near or slightly below the average for this time of year.
